Before the series began, the Knicks entered as the lower seed with a defensive rating that ranked 12th league‑wide, while the Spurs boasted a top‑five offense. Historical head‑to‑heads favored the Spurs, who had won 68% of their last ten playoff meetings. This baseline establishes the conventional expectation that the Spurs would dominate.
Yet the Knicks entered the arena with a revamped rotation, a younger point guard handling increased minutes, and a defensive scheme that emphasized switching on pick‑and‑rolls. These variables created a new data point that needed careful separation from noise before drawing conclusions about a broader trend.